Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.020705 0.022221 0.023797 0.025560 0.027480 0.029509 0.031818
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.017892 0.020036 0.022379 0.025140 0.028313 0.031856 0.036128
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016130 0.018646 0.021502 0.025002 0.029194 0.034084 0.040254
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014704 0.017431 0.020621 0.024656 0.029657 0.035701 0.043627
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013761 0.016670 0.020163 0.024703 0.030502 0.037735 0.047553
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012807 0.015803 0.019481 0.024376 0.030793 0.039022 0.050537
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011925 0.014954 0.018745 0.023898 0.030811 0.039899 0.052972
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011261 0.014333 0.018249 0.023676 0.031119 0.041136 0.055931
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010667 0.013763 0.017776 0.023439 0.031363 0.042266 0.058774
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010035 0.013106 0.017144 0.022936 0.031190 0.042774 0.060714
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009722 0.012858 0.017045 0.023155 0.032028 0.044748 0.064930
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009350 0.012508 0.016784 0.023120 0.032485 0.046174 0.068385
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009097 0.012314 0.016732 0.023385 0.033401 0.048345 0.073175
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008693 0.011887 0.016329 0.023114 0.033494 0.049262 0.076021
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008370 0.011561 0.016054 0.023012 0.033829 0.050561 0.079563
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008010 0.011165 0.015658 0.022703 0.033819 0.051300 0.082204
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007775 0.010940 0.015500 0.022747 0.034358 0.052942 0.086487
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007463 0.010588 0.015137 0.022451 0.034330 0.053642 0.089158
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007134 0.010198 0.014700 0.022017 0.034050 0.053896 0.091034
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006885 0.009919 0.014420 0.021816 0.034140 0.054774 0.094095
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006646 0.009647 0.014140 0.021601 0.034189 0.055576 0.097060
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006363 0.009296 0.013723 0.021144 0.033803 0.055588 0.098513
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006250 0.009204 0.013707 0.021343 0.034549 0.057644 0.104055